Deportivo Madryn vs Deportivo Maipu

Deportivo Madryn face Deportivo Maipu in the Primera Nacional (Round of 16) on Saturday 14 November 2026, kick-off 22:00 UTC at Estadio Abel Sastre, Puerto Madryn.

At home this season Deportivo Madryn average 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; on the road Deportivo Maipu average 1.1 scored and 1.2 conceded. Deportivo Madryn have kept 14 clean sheets and failed to score 10 times; Deportivo Maipu have 12 clean sheets and 13 blanks.

Deportivo Madryn have scored 8 and conceded 3 in their last 5 matches, with 2 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 2. Deportivo Maipu have scored 5 and conceded 3 in their last 5 matches, with 1 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 2.

Deportivo Madryn come into this fixture with a recent record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, while Deportivo Maipu have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in the same window. Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, 14 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 4 of them. Recent head-to-head meetings average 2.8 goals, which supports the Under 2.5 line. The Under 2.5 Goals selection (Under 2.5) is assigned a 61.73% probability at odds of 1.62.

• Deportivo Madryn have the better recent form (10 pts vs 8 pts from the last 5 matches).
• Deportivo Madryn have scored 52 goals this season compared with 43 for Deportivo Maipu.
• Defensively, Deportivo Madryn have conceded 31 and Deportivo Maipu have conceded 34.
• Deportivo Madryn have won 10 of 18 home matches in this competition.
• The last 5 H2H meetings average 2.8 goals per game.
• Market rationale: the model leans towards a low-scoring game for Under 2.5.

• Deportivo Madryn matches average 2.3 total goals this season and Deportivo Maipu matches 2.1.
• 2 of Deportivo Madryn's last 5 matches went over 2.5 goals.
• 1 of Deportivo Maipu's last 5 matches went over 2.5 goals.
• The last 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.8 goals.

In the last 5 meetings, Deportivo Madryn have won 0, Deportivo Maipu have won 2 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 31 August 2025, finished Deportivo Maipu 2-1 Deportivo Madryn.