UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau

UCV Moquegua face Atletico Grau in the Primera División (Clausura - 17) on Saturday 14 November 2026, kick-off 21:00 UTC at Estadio 25 de Noviembre, Moquegua.

UCV Moquegua are 17th with 30 points from 33 games, while Atletico Grau are 14th with 37. That leaves Atletico Grau 7 points ahead.

At home this season UCV Moquegua average 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; on the road Atletico Grau average 0.7 scored and 1.8 conceded. UCV Moquegua have kept 9 clean sheets and failed to score 16 times; Atletico Grau have 11 clean sheets and 14 blanks.

UCV Moquegua have scored 3 and conceded 5 in their last 5 matches, with 1 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 1. Atletico Grau have scored 6 and conceded 10 in their last 5 matches, with 4 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 3.

UCV Moquegua come into this fixture with a recent record of 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, while Atletico Grau have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in the same window. UCV Moquegua currently sit 17th on 30 points, with Atletico Grau placed 14th on 37 points. Across the last 1 head-to-head meetings, 1 goal have been scored and both teams found the net in 0 of them. Recent head-to-head meetings average 1 goals, which supports the Under 2.5 line. The Under 2.5 Goals selection (Under 2.5) is assigned a 56.18% probability at odds of 1.78.

• UCV Moquegua have the better recent form (5 pts vs 4 pts from the last 5 matches).
• UCV Moquegua have scored 27 goals this season compared with 32 for Atletico Grau.
• Defensively, UCV Moquegua have conceded 48 and Atletico Grau have conceded 41.
• League positions: UCV Moquegua 17th, Atletico Grau 14th.
• The last 1 H2H meetings average 1 goals per game.
• Market rationale: the model leans towards a low-scoring game for Under 2.5.

• UCV Moquegua matches average 2.3 total goals this season and Atletico Grau matches 2.2.
• 1 of UCV Moquegua's last 5 matches went over 2.5 goals.
• 4 of Atletico Grau's last 5 matches went over 2.5 goals.
• The last 1 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.0 goals.

In the last 1 meeting, UCV Moquegua have won 0, Atletico Grau have won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 29 May 2026, finished Atletico Grau 1-0 UCV Moquegua.