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Toluca vs Monterrey

Toluca vs Monterrey Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Liga MX

Toluca
Toluca
01:00
Nov 8th
Monterrey
Monterrey
Prediction Odds Confidence
1X 1.20
83.33%
Toluca:
L D D D D
Monterrey:
D W W L D

Toluca vs Monterrey Preview

Toluca face Monterrey in the Liga MX (Apertura - 16) on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 01:00 UTC at Estadio Nemesio Diez, Toluca.

Toluca are 6th with 24 points from 15 games, while Monterrey are 9th with 21. That leaves Toluca 3 points ahead.

At home this season Toluca average 2.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; on the road Monterrey average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded. Toluca have kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time; Monterrey have 3 clean sheets and 3 blanks.

Toluca have scored 8 and conceded 9 in their last 5 matches, with 3 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 5. Monterrey have scored 10 and conceded 7 in their last 5 matches, with 3 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 4.

Match Analysis

Toluca come into this fixture with a recent record of 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat, while Monterrey have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in the same window. Toluca currently sit 6th on 24 points, with Monterrey placed 9th on 21 points. Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, 12 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 2 of them. Combining the home win and the draw, the 1X selection covers the two most likely outcomes for Toluca. The Double Chance selection (1X) is assigned a 83.33% probability at odds of 1.2.

Key Match Factors

  • Monterrey have the better recent form (8 pts vs 4 pts from the last 5 matches).
  • Toluca have scored 31 goals this season compared with 26 for Monterrey.
  • Defensively, Toluca have conceded 21 and Monterrey have conceded 21.
  • League positions: Toluca 6th, Monterrey 9th.
  • Toluca have won 3 of 7 home matches in this competition.
  • Monterrey have won 2 of 6 away matches in this competition.

Why We Tip 1X

  • Toluca at home: 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 7 games.
  • Monterrey away from home: 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 6 games.
  • Toluca have taken 4 points from their last 5 matches.
  • Monterrey have taken 8 points from their last 5 matches.

Teams Head to Head Matches

In the last 5 meetings, Toluca have won 3, Monterrey have won 2 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 3 October 2026, finished Monterrey 2-1 Toluca.

Date Home Score Away
Oct 03, 2026 Monterrey 2 : 1 Toluca
Sep 07, 2026 Toluca 2 : 0 Monterrey
Jan 11, 2026 Monterrey 0 : 1 Toluca
Dec 07, 2025 Toluca 3 : 2 Monterrey
Dec 04, 2025 Monterrey 1 : 0 Toluca

Season Statistics

Toluca Monterrey
Form
L D L D D D D
W L D W W L D
Played 15 14
Wins 6 6
Draws 6 3
Losses 3 5
Goals for (avg) 2.1 1.9
Goals against (avg) 1.4 1.5
Clean sheets 4 3
Failed to score 1 3
Biggest win streak 4 2

Last Matches (Toluca)

1 November 2026 • Liga MX
D
Club America
2 2
Toluca
24 October 2026 • Liga MX
D
Leon
1 1
Toluca
22 October 2026 • Liga MX
D
Toluca
2 2
Club Tijuana
18 October 2026 • Liga MX
D
Toluca
1 1
Atletico San Luis
10 October 2026 • Liga MX
L
Tigres UANL
3 2
Toluca

Last Matches (Monterrey)

1 November 2026 • Liga MX
D
Monterrey
3 3
Club Tijuana
25 October 2026 • Liga MX
L
Monterrey
0 1
Guadalajara Chivas
22 October 2026 • Liga MX
W
Puebla
1 4
Monterrey
19 October 2026 • Liga MX
W
Monterrey
2 1
CF Pachuca
11 October 2026 • Liga MX
D
Club America
1 1
Monterrey

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Toluca vs Monterrey FAQs

What is the Toluca vs Monterrey prediction?

Our tip is 1X (Double Chance), with a probability of 83.33% at odds of 1.2.

When is Toluca vs Monterrey?

Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 01:00 UTC, in the Liga MX, at Estadio Nemesio Diez.

What is the head-to-head record between Toluca and Monterrey?

In the last 5 meetings, Toluca have won 3, Monterrey have won 2 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 3 October 2026, finished Monterrey 2-1 Toluca.

Discussion & Tips

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League Table — Liga MX

# Team MP W D L PTS
1 Club America Club America 15 8 5 2 29
2 Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas 15 8 5 2 29
3 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 15 9 2 4 29
4 Atlas Atlas 15 8 3 4 27
5 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 16 8 1 7 25
6 Toluca Toluca 15 6 6 3 24
7 Club Tijuana Club Tijuana 16 5 7 4 22
8 Leon Leon 15 6 4 5 22
9 Monterrey Monterrey 14 6 3 5 21
10 U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas 15 5 5 5 20
11 Club Queretaro Club Queretaro 14 6 2 6 20
12 CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 15 5 4 6 19
13 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 16 5 4 7 19
14 Puebla Puebla 15 4 4 7 16
15 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 15 3 6 6 15
16 Atlante FC Atlante FC 16 3 5 8 14
17 Necaxa Necaxa 16 3 4 9 13
18 FC Juarez FC Juarez 16 3 2 11 11