Toluca vs Monterrey
Toluca vs Monterrey Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Toluca vs Monterrey Preview
Toluca face Monterrey in the Liga MX (Apertura - 16) on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 01:00 UTC at Estadio Nemesio Diez, Toluca.
Toluca are 6th with 24 points from 15 games, while Monterrey are 9th with 21. That leaves Toluca 3 points ahead.
At home this season Toluca average 2.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; on the road Monterrey average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded. Toluca have kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time; Monterrey have 3 clean sheets and 3 blanks.
Toluca have scored 8 and conceded 9 in their last 5 matches, with 3 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 5. Monterrey have scored 10 and conceded 7 in their last 5 matches, with 3 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 4.
Match Analysis
Toluca come into this fixture with a recent record of 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat, while Monterrey have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in the same window. Toluca currently sit 6th on 24 points, with Monterrey placed 9th on 21 points. Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, 12 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 2 of them. Combining the home win and the draw, the 1X selection covers the two most likely outcomes for Toluca. The Double Chance selection (1X) is assigned a 83.33% probability at odds of 1.2.
Key Match Factors
- Monterrey have the better recent form (8 pts vs 4 pts from the last 5 matches).
- Toluca have scored 31 goals this season compared with 26 for Monterrey.
- Defensively, Toluca have conceded 21 and Monterrey have conceded 21.
- League positions: Toluca 6th, Monterrey 9th.
- Toluca have won 3 of 7 home matches in this competition.
- Monterrey have won 2 of 6 away matches in this competition.
Why We Tip 1X
- Toluca at home: 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 7 games.
- Monterrey away from home: 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 6 games.
- Toluca have taken 4 points from their last 5 matches.
- Monterrey have taken 8 points from their last 5 matches.
Teams Head to Head Matches
In the last 5 meetings, Toluca have won 3, Monterrey have won 2 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 3 October 2026, finished Monterrey 2-1 Toluca.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 03, 2026 | Monterrey | 2 : 1 | Toluca |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Toluca | 2 : 0 | Monterrey |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Monterrey | 0 : 1 | Toluca |
| Dec 07, 2025 | Toluca | 3 : 2 | Monterrey |
| Dec 04, 2025 | Monterrey | 1 : 0 | Toluca |
Season Statistics
| Toluca | Monterrey | |
|---|---|---|
| Form |
L
D
L
D
D
D
D
|
W
L
D
W
W
L
D
|
| Played | 15 | 14 |
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| Wins | 6 | 6 |
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| Draws | 6 | 3 |
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| Losses | 3 | 5 |
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| Goals for (avg) | 2.1 | 1.9 |
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| Goals against (avg) | 1.4 | 1.5 |
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| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 |
| Biggest win streak | 4 | 2 |
Last Matches (Toluca)
Club America
Leon
Toluca
Toluca
Tigres UANL
Last Matches (Monterrey)
Monterrey
Monterrey
Puebla
Monterrey
Club America
Related Predictions
Toluca vs Monterrey FAQs
What is the Toluca vs Monterrey prediction?
Our tip is 1X (Double Chance), with a probability of 83.33% at odds of 1.2.
When is Toluca vs Monterrey?
Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 01:00 UTC, in the Liga MX, at Estadio Nemesio Diez.
What is the head-to-head record between Toluca and Monterrey?
In the last 5 meetings, Toluca have won 3, Monterrey have won 2 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 3 October 2026, finished Monterrey 2-1 Toluca.
Discussion & Tips
League Table — Liga MX
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Club America
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 29 |
| 2 |
Guadalajara Chivas
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 29 |
| 3 |
Cruz Azul
|
15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 |
Atlas
|
15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 |
| 5 |
Santos Laguna
|
16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 25 |
| 6 |
Toluca
|
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 |
| 7 |
Club Tijuana
|
16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 |
Leon
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 |
| 9 |
Monterrey
|
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 |
| 10 |
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
|
15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 |
| 11 |
Club Queretaro
|
14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 20 |
| 12 |
CF Pachuca
|
15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 |
| 13 |
Atletico San Luis
|
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 |
| 14 |
Puebla
|
15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 |
| 15 |
Tigres UANL
|
15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 |
| 16 |
Atlante FC
|
16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
| 17 |
Necaxa
|
16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
| 18 |
FC Juarez
|
16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 11 |