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Northern Ireland vs Ukraine

Northern Ireland vs Ukraine Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

UEFA Nations League

Northern Ireland
Northern Ireland
19:45
Nov 14th
Ukraine
Ukraine
Prediction Odds Confidence
Under 3.5 1.18
84.75%
Northern Ireland:
L W D W D
Ukraine:
L W D L L

Northern Ireland vs Ukraine Preview

Northern Ireland face Ukraine in the UEFA Nations League (League B - 5) on Saturday 14 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC at Windsor Park, Belfast.

Northern Ireland are 1st with 8 points from 4 games, while Ukraine are 3rd with 4. That leaves Northern Ireland 4 points ahead.

At home this season Northern Ireland average 0.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game; on the road Ukraine average 0.5 scored and 0.0 conceded. Northern Ireland have kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times; Ukraine have 2 clean sheets and 2 blanks.

Northern Ireland have scored 5 and conceded 3 in their last 5 matches, with 2 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 1. Ukraine have scored 3 and conceded 7 in their last 5 matches, with 3 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 2.

Match Analysis

Northern Ireland come into this fixture with a recent record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, while Ukraine have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in the same window. Northern Ireland currently sit 1st on 8 points, with Ukraine placed 3rd on 4 points. Across the last 3 head-to-head meetings, 6 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 0 of them. Recent head-to-head meetings average 2 goals, which supports the Under 3.5 line. The Under 3.5 Goals selection (Under 3.5) is assigned a 84.75% probability at odds of 1.18.

Key Match Factors

  • Northern Ireland have the better recent form (8 pts vs 4 pts from the last 5 matches).
  • Northern Ireland have scored 4 goals this season compared with 2 for Ukraine.
  • Defensively, Northern Ireland have conceded 0 and Ukraine have conceded 5.
  • League positions: Northern Ireland 1st, Ukraine 3rd.
  • Northern Ireland have won 0 of 2 home matches in this competition.
  • Ukraine have won 1 of 2 away matches in this competition.

Why We Tip Under 3.5

  • Northern Ireland matches average 1.0 total goals this season and Ukraine matches 1.8.
  • 1 of Northern Ireland's last 5 matches went over 3.5 goals.
  • 0 of Ukraine's last 5 matches went over 3.5 goals.
  • The last 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.0 goals.

Teams Head to Head Matches

In the last 3 meetings, Northern Ireland have won 2, Ukraine have won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 2 October 2026, finished Ukraine 0-3 Northern Ireland.

Date Home Score Away
Oct 02, 2026 Ukraine 0 : 3 Northern Ireland
Jun 03, 2021 Ukraine 1 : 0 Northern Ireland
Jun 01, 2020 Ukraine - : - Northern Ireland
Jun 16, 2016 Ukraine 0 : 2 Northern Ireland

Season Statistics

Northern Ireland Ukraine
Form
W D W D
W D L L
Played 4 4
Wins 2 1
Draws 2 1
Losses 0 2
Goals for (avg) 1.0 0.5
Goals against (avg) 0.0 1.3
Clean sheets 4 2
Failed to score 2 2
Biggest win streak 1 1

Last Matches (Northern Ireland)

5 October 2026 • UEFA Nations League
D
Northern Ireland
0 0
Georgia
2 October 2026 • UEFA Nations League
W
Ukraine
0 3
Northern Ireland
28 September 2026 • UEFA Nations League
D
Northern Ireland
0 0
Hungary
25 September 2026 • UEFA Nations League
W
Georgia
0 1
Northern Ireland
8 June 2026 • Friendlies
L
France
3 1
Northern Ireland

Last Matches (Ukraine)

5 October 2026 • UEFA Nations League
L
Ukraine
1 2
Hungary
2 October 2026 • UEFA Nations League
L
Ukraine
0 3
Northern Ireland
28 September 2026 • UEFA Nations League
D
Georgia
0 0
Ukraine
25 September 2026 • UEFA Nations League
W
Hungary
0 1
Ukraine
7 June 2026 • Friendlies
L
Denmark
2 1
Ukraine

Related Predictions

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Northern Ireland vs Ukraine FAQs

What is the Northern Ireland vs Ukraine prediction?

Our tip is Under 3.5 (Under 3.5 Goals), with a probability of 84.75% at odds of 1.18.

When is Northern Ireland vs Ukraine?

Saturday 14 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC, in the UEFA Nations League, at Windsor Park.

What is the head-to-head record between Northern Ireland and Ukraine?

In the last 3 meetings, Northern Ireland have won 2, Ukraine have won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 2 October 2026, finished Ukraine 0-3 Northern Ireland.

Discussion & Tips

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League Table — UEFA Nations League

# Team MP W D L PTS
1 Northern Ireland Northern Ireland 4 2 2 0 8
2 Hungary Hungary 4 2 1 1 7
3 Ukraine Ukraine 4 1 1 2 4
4 Georgia Georgia 4 0 2 2 2