New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic
New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic Preview
New Mexico United face Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship (Semi-finals) on Monday 16 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park.
New Mexico United are 1st with 52 points from 30 games, while Sacramento Republic are 2nd with 51. That leaves New Mexico United 1 point ahead.
At home this season New Mexico United average 1.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game; on the road Sacramento Republic average 1.0 scored and 0.9 conceded. New Mexico United have kept 11 clean sheets and failed to score 8 times; Sacramento Republic have 11 clean sheets and 6 blanks.
New Mexico United have scored 10 and conceded 2 in their last 5 matches, with 2 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 1. Sacramento Republic have scored 8 and conceded 4 in their last 5 matches, with 2 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 3.
Match Analysis
New Mexico United come into this fixture with a recent record of 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, while Sacramento Republic have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in the same window. New Mexico United currently sit 1st on 52 points, with Sacramento Republic placed 2nd on 51 points. Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, 15 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 2 of them. Recent head-to-head meetings average 3 goals, which supports the Over 1.5 line. The Over 1.5 Goals selection (Over 1.5) is assigned a 78.13% probability at odds of 1.28.
Key Match Factors
- Sacramento Republic have the better recent form (13 pts vs 12 pts from the last 5 matches).
- New Mexico United have scored 51 goals this season compared with 45 for Sacramento Republic.
- Defensively, New Mexico United have conceded 34 and Sacramento Republic have conceded 29.
- League positions: New Mexico United 1st, Sacramento Republic 2nd.
- New Mexico United have won 9 of 15 home matches in this competition.
- Sacramento Republic have won 4 of 15 away matches in this competition.
Why We Tip Over 1.5
- New Mexico United matches average 2.7 total goals this season and Sacramento Republic matches 2.3.
- 3 of New Mexico United's last 5 matches went over 1.5 goals.
- 3 of Sacramento Republic's last 5 matches went over 1.5 goals.
- The last 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.0 goals.
Teams Head to Head Matches
In the last 5 meetings, New Mexico United have won 1, Sacramento Republic have won 4 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 27 September 2026, finished New Mexico United 2-3 Sacramento Republic.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | New Mexico United | 2 : 3 | Sacramento Republic |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Sacramento Republic | 0 : 1 | New Mexico United |
| Aug 31, 2025 | New Mexico United | 0 : 2 | Sacramento Republic |
| Mar 09, 2025 | Sacramento Republic | 2 : 1 | New Mexico United |
| Sep 30, 2024 | Sacramento Republic | 4 : 0 | New Mexico United |
Season Statistics
| New Mexico United | Sacramento Republic | |
|---|---|---|
| Form |
L
W
W
L
W
W
W
|
W
D
D
W
W
W
W
|
| Played | 32 | 32 |
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| Wins | 17 | 15 |
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| Draws | 7 | 12 |
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| Losses | 8 | 5 |
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| Goals for (avg) | 1.6 | 1.4 |
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| Goals against (avg) | 1.1 | 0.9 |
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| Clean sheets | 11 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 8 | 6 |
| Biggest win streak | 6 | 2 |
Last Matches (New Mexico United)
New Mexico United
New Mexico United
El Paso Locomotive
San Antonio
New Mexico United
Last Matches (Sacramento Republic)
Sacramento Republic
Sacramento Republic
Sacramento Republic
El Paso Locomotive
Sacramento Republic
Related Predictions
New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic FAQs
What is the New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic prediction?
Our tip is Over 1.5 (Over 1.5 Goals), with a probability of 78.13% at odds of 1.28.
When is New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic?
Monday 16 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC, in the USL Championship, at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park.
What is the head-to-head record between New Mexico United and Sacramento Republic?
In the last 5 meetings, New Mexico United have won 1, Sacramento Republic have won 4 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 27 September 2026, finished New Mexico United 2-3 Sacramento Republic.
Discussion & Tips
League Table — USL Championship
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
New Mexico United
|
30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 52 |
| 2 |
Sacramento Republic
|
30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 51 |
| 3 |
El Paso Locomotive
|
30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 50 |
| 4 |
Lexington
|
30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 48 |
| 5 |
Colorado Springs
|
30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 47 |
| 6 |
San Antonio
|
30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 45 |
| 7 |
FC Tulsa
|
30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 43 |
| 8 |
Phoenix Rising
|
30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 40 |
| 9 |
Orange County SC
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 39 |
| 10 |
Oakland Roots
|
30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 38 |
| 11 |
Las Vegas Lights
|
30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 36 |
| 12 |
Monterey Bay
|
30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 24 |