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New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic

New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USL Championship

New Mexico United
New Mexico United
00:00
Nov 16th
Sacramento Republic
Sacramento Republic
Prediction Odds Confidence
Over 1.5 1.28
78.13%
New Mexico United:
W L W W W
Sacramento Republic:
D W W W W

New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic Preview

New Mexico United face Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship (Semi-finals) on Monday 16 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park.

New Mexico United are 1st with 52 points from 30 games, while Sacramento Republic are 2nd with 51. That leaves New Mexico United 1 point ahead.

At home this season New Mexico United average 1.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game; on the road Sacramento Republic average 1.0 scored and 0.9 conceded. New Mexico United have kept 11 clean sheets and failed to score 8 times; Sacramento Republic have 11 clean sheets and 6 blanks.

New Mexico United have scored 10 and conceded 2 in their last 5 matches, with 2 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 1. Sacramento Republic have scored 8 and conceded 4 in their last 5 matches, with 2 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 3.

Match Analysis

New Mexico United come into this fixture with a recent record of 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, while Sacramento Republic have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in the same window. New Mexico United currently sit 1st on 52 points, with Sacramento Republic placed 2nd on 51 points. Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, 15 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 2 of them. Recent head-to-head meetings average 3 goals, which supports the Over 1.5 line. The Over 1.5 Goals selection (Over 1.5) is assigned a 78.13% probability at odds of 1.28.

Key Match Factors

  • Sacramento Republic have the better recent form (13 pts vs 12 pts from the last 5 matches).
  • New Mexico United have scored 51 goals this season compared with 45 for Sacramento Republic.
  • Defensively, New Mexico United have conceded 34 and Sacramento Republic have conceded 29.
  • League positions: New Mexico United 1st, Sacramento Republic 2nd.
  • New Mexico United have won 9 of 15 home matches in this competition.
  • Sacramento Republic have won 4 of 15 away matches in this competition.

Why We Tip Over 1.5

  • New Mexico United matches average 2.7 total goals this season and Sacramento Republic matches 2.3.
  • 3 of New Mexico United's last 5 matches went over 1.5 goals.
  • 3 of Sacramento Republic's last 5 matches went over 1.5 goals.
  • The last 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.0 goals.

Teams Head to Head Matches

In the last 5 meetings, New Mexico United have won 1, Sacramento Republic have won 4 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 27 September 2026, finished New Mexico United 2-3 Sacramento Republic.

Date Home Score Away
Sep 27, 2026 New Mexico United 2 : 3 Sacramento Republic
Jun 21, 2026 Sacramento Republic 0 : 1 New Mexico United
Aug 31, 2025 New Mexico United 0 : 2 Sacramento Republic
Mar 09, 2025 Sacramento Republic 2 : 1 New Mexico United
Sep 30, 2024 Sacramento Republic 4 : 0 New Mexico United

Season Statistics

New Mexico United Sacramento Republic
Form
L W W L W W W
W D D W W W W
Played 32 32
Wins 17 15
Draws 7 12
Losses 8 5
Goals for (avg) 1.6 1.4
Goals against (avg) 1.1 0.9
Clean sheets 11 11
Failed to score 8 6
Biggest win streak 6 2

Last Matches (New Mexico United)

8 November 2026 • USL Championship
W
New Mexico United
4 0
Colorado Springs
1 November 2026 • USL Championship
W
New Mexico United
2 0
Phoenix Rising
25 October 2026 • USL Championship
W
El Paso Locomotive
0 1
New Mexico United
18 October 2026 • USL Championship
L
San Antonio
1 0
New Mexico United
11 October 2026 • USL Championship
W
New Mexico United
3 1
Monterey Bay

Last Matches (Sacramento Republic)

8 November 2026 • USL Championship
W
Sacramento Republic
2 1
El Paso Locomotive
2 November 2026 • USL Championship
W
Sacramento Republic
1 0
FC Tulsa
25 October 2026 • USL Championship
W
Sacramento Republic
3 2
Oakland Roots
18 October 2026 • USL Championship
W
El Paso Locomotive
0 1
Sacramento Republic
11 October 2026 • USL Championship
D
Sacramento Republic
1 1
Colorado Springs

Related Predictions

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New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic FAQs

What is the New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic prediction?

Our tip is Over 1.5 (Over 1.5 Goals), with a probability of 78.13% at odds of 1.28.

When is New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic?

Monday 16 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC, in the USL Championship, at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park.

What is the head-to-head record between New Mexico United and Sacramento Republic?

In the last 5 meetings, New Mexico United have won 1, Sacramento Republic have won 4 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 27 September 2026, finished New Mexico United 2-3 Sacramento Republic.

Discussion & Tips

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League Table — USL Championship

# Team MP W D L PTS
1 New Mexico United New Mexico United 30 15 7 8 52
2 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 30 13 12 5 51
3 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 30 15 5 10 50
4 Lexington Lexington 30 14 6 10 48
5 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 30 13 8 9 47
6 San Antonio San Antonio 30 11 12 7 45
7 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 30 11 10 9 43
8 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 30 10 10 10 40
9 Orange County SC Orange County SC 30 10 9 11 39
10 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 30 9 11 10 38
11 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 30 10 6 14 36
12 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 30 6 6 18 24