Luxembourg vs Estonia

Luxembourg face Estonia in the UEFA Nations League on Friday 13 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 GMT+0100.

At home this season Luxembourg average 0.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game; on the road Estonia average 0.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. Luxembourg have kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times; Estonia have 3 clean sheets and 2 blanks.

Luxembourg have scored 8 and conceded 2 in their last 5 matches, with 2 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 1. Estonia have scored 1 and conceded 3 in their last 5 matches, with 0 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 1.

Luxembourg come into this fixture with a recent record of 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, while Estonia have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in the same window. Across the last 1 head-to-head meetings, 1 goal have been scored and both teams found the net in 0 of them. Recent head-to-head meetings average 1 goals, which supports the Under 3.5 line. The Under 3.5 Goals selection (Under 3.5) is assigned a 84.75% probability at odds of 1.18.

• Estonia have the better recent form (9 pts vs 6 pts from the last 5 matches).
• Luxembourg have scored 2 goals this season compared with 2 for Estonia.
• Defensively, Luxembourg have conceded 7 and Estonia have conceded 1.
• The last 1 H2H meetings average 1 goals per game.
• Market rationale: the model leans towards a low-scoring game for Under 3.5.

• Luxembourg matches average 2.3 total goals this season and Estonia matches 0.8.
• 0 of Luxembourg's last 5 matches went over 3.5 goals.
• 0 of Estonia's last 5 matches went over 3.5 goals.
• The last 1 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.0 goals.

In the last 1 meeting, Luxembourg have won 0, Estonia have won 0 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 3 October 2026, finished Estonia 1-0 Luxembourg.