Derby vs Bolton
Derby vs Bolton Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Derby vs Bolton Preview
Derby face Bolton in the Championship on Friday 6 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC at Pride Park Stadium, Derby.
Derby are 23rd with 7 points from 14 games, while Bolton are 17th with 17. That leaves Bolton 10 points ahead.
At home this season Derby average 0.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game; on the road Bolton average 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded. Derby have kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 5 times; Bolton have 4 clean sheets and 4 blanks.
Derby have scored 3 and conceded 14 in their last 5 matches, with 3 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 3. Bolton have scored 7 and conceded 9 in their last 5 matches, with 3 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 3.
Expert Analysis
Derby come into this fixture with a recent record of 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats, while Bolton have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the same window. Derby currently sit 23rd on 7 points, with Bolton placed 17th on 17 points. Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, 11 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 2 of them. Recent head-to-head meetings average 2.2 goals, which supports the Over 1.5 line. The Over 1.5 Goals selection (Over 1.5) is assigned a 86.21% probability at odds of 1.16.
Key Match Factors
- Bolton have the better recent form (7 pts vs 1 pts from the last 5 matches).
- Derby have scored 11 goals this season compared with 19 for Bolton.
- Defensively, Derby have conceded 29 and Bolton have conceded 26.
- League positions: Derby 23rd, Bolton 17th.
- Derby have won 0 of 7 home matches in this competition.
- Bolton have won 3 of 7 away matches in this competition.
Why We Tip Over 1.5
- Derby matches average 2.9 total goals this season and Bolton matches 3.3.
- 4 of Derby's last 5 matches went over 1.5 goals.
- 3 of Bolton's last 5 matches went over 1.5 goals.
- The last 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.2 goals.
Teams Head to Head Matches
In the last 5 meetings, Derby have won 3, Bolton have won 1 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 16 March 2024, finished Derby 1-0 Bolton.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | Derby | 1 : 0 | Bolton |
| Sep 02, 2023 | Bolton | 2 : 1 | Derby |
| Jan 21, 2023 | Derby | 2 : 1 | Bolton |
| Dec 27, 2022 | Bolton | 0 : 0 | Derby |
| Apr 13, 2019 | Derby | 4 : 0 | Bolton |
Season Statistics
| Derby | Bolton | |
|---|---|---|
| Form |
D
D
L
L
D
L
L
|
W
L
W
D
L
L
W
|
| Played | 14 | 14 |
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| Wins | 1 | 5 |
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| Draws | 4 | 2 |
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| Losses | 9 | 7 |
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| Goals for (avg) | 0.8 | 1.4 |
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| Goals against (avg) | 2.1 | 1.9 |
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| Clean sheets | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 4 |
| Biggest win streak | 1 | 2 |
Last Matches (Derby)
Derby
Millwall
Sheffield Utd
Derby
QPR
Last Matches (Bolton)
Charlton
Bolton
Bolton
Southampton
Wolves
Related Predictions
Derby vs Bolton FAQs
What is the Derby vs Bolton prediction?
Our tip is Over 1.5 (Over 1.5 Goals), with a probability of 86.21% at odds of 1.16.
When is Derby vs Bolton?
Friday 6 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC, in the Championship, at Pride Park Stadium.
What is the head-to-head record between Derby and Bolton?
In the last 5 meetings, Derby have won 3, Bolton have won 1 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 16 March 2024, finished Derby 1-0 Bolton.
Discussion & Tips
League Table — Championship
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Middlesbrough
|
14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 28 |
| 2 |
Wolves
|
14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 |
| 3 |
Birmingham
|
14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 26 |
| 4 |
Stoke City
|
14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26 |
| 5 |
Swansea
|
14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26 |
| 6 |
West Brom
|
14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 |
| 7 |
Southampton
|
14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 24 |
| 8 |
West Ham
|
14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 23 |
| 9 |
Sheffield Utd
|
14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 |
| 10 |
Portsmouth
|
14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 |
| 11 |
QPR
|
14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21 |
| 12 |
Norwich
|
14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 18 |
| 13 |
Millwall
|
14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 |
| 14 |
Blackburn
|
14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 |
| 15 |
Bristol City
|
14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 |
| 16 |
Wrexham
|
14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17 |
| 17 |
Bolton
|
14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17 |
| 18 |
Cardiff
|
14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15 |
| 19 |
Lincoln
|
14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 |
| 20 |
Watford
|
14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 |
| 21 |
Charlton
|
14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 |
| 22 |
Burnley
|
14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 10 |
| 23 |
Derby
|
14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 7 |
| 24 |
Preston
|
14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 |