ModricPredict

Derby vs Bolton

Derby vs Bolton Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Championship

Derby
Derby
20:00
Nov 6th
Bolton
Bolton
Prediction Odds Confidence
Over 2.5 1.65
60.61%
Derby:
L L D L L
Bolton:
W D L L W

Derby vs Bolton Preview

Derby face Bolton in the Championship on Friday 6 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC at Pride Park Stadium, Derby.

Derby are 23rd with 7 points from 14 games, while Bolton are 17th with 17. That leaves Bolton 10 points ahead.

At home this season Derby average 0.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game; on the road Bolton average 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded. Derby have kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 5 times; Bolton have 4 clean sheets and 4 blanks.

Derby have scored 3 and conceded 14 in their last 5 matches, with 3 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 3. Bolton have scored 7 and conceded 9 in their last 5 matches, with 3 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 3.

Expert Analysis

Derby come into this fixture with a recent record of 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats, while Bolton have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the same window. Derby currently sit 23rd on 7 points, with Bolton placed 17th on 17 points. Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, 11 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 2 of them. Recent head-to-head meetings average 2.2 goals, which supports the Over 2.5 line. The Over 2.5 Goals selection (Over 2.5) is assigned a 60.61% probability at odds of 1.65.

Key Match Factors

  • Bolton have the better recent form (7 pts vs 1 pts from the last 5 matches).
  • Derby have scored 11 goals this season compared with 19 for Bolton.
  • Defensively, Derby have conceded 29 and Bolton have conceded 26.
  • League positions: Derby 23rd, Bolton 17th.
  • Derby have won 0 of 7 home matches in this competition.
  • Bolton have won 3 of 7 away matches in this competition.

Why We Tip Over 2.5

  • Derby matches average 2.9 total goals this season and Bolton matches 3.3.
  • 3 of Derby's last 5 matches went over 2.5 goals.
  • 3 of Bolton's last 5 matches went over 2.5 goals.
  • The last 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.2 goals.

Teams Head to Head Matches

In the last 5 meetings, Derby have won 3, Bolton have won 1 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 16 March 2024, finished Derby 1-0 Bolton.

Date Home Score Away
Mar 16, 2024 Derby 1 : 0 Bolton
Sep 02, 2023 Bolton 2 : 1 Derby
Jan 21, 2023 Derby 2 : 1 Bolton
Dec 27, 2022 Bolton 0 : 0 Derby
Apr 13, 2019 Derby 4 : 0 Bolton

Season Statistics

Derby Bolton
Form
D D L L D L L
W L W D L L W
Played 14 14
Wins 1 5
Draws 4 2
Losses 9 7
Goals for (avg) 0.8 1.4
Goals against (avg) 2.1 1.9
Clean sheets 1 4
Failed to score 5 4
Biggest win streak 1 2

Last Matches (Derby)

3 November 2026 • Championship
L
Derby
0 4
Norwich
31 October 2026 • Championship
L
Millwall
4 1
Derby
24 October 2026 • Championship
D
Sheffield Utd
1 1
Derby
17 October 2026 • Championship
L
Derby
0 1
Stoke City
14 October 2026 • Championship
L
QPR
4 1
Derby

Last Matches (Bolton)

3 November 2026 • Championship
W
Charlton
0 1
Bolton
31 October 2026 • Championship
L
Bolton
2 3
Bristol City
23 October 2026 • Championship
L
Bolton
1 5
Middlesbrough
17 October 2026 • Championship
D
Southampton
0 0
Bolton
13 October 2026 • Championship
W
Wolves
1 3
Bolton

Related Predictions

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Derby vs Bolton FAQs

What is the Derby vs Bolton prediction?

Our tip is Over 2.5 (Over 2.5 Goals), with a probability of 60.61% at odds of 1.65.

When is Derby vs Bolton?

Friday 6 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC, in the Championship, at Pride Park Stadium.

What is the head-to-head record between Derby and Bolton?

In the last 5 meetings, Derby have won 3, Bolton have won 1 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 16 March 2024, finished Derby 1-0 Bolton.

Discussion & Tips

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League Table — Championship

# Team MP W D L PTS
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 14 8 4 2 28
2 Wolves Wolves 14 8 3 3 27
3 Birmingham Birmingham 14 7 5 2 26
4 Stoke City Stoke City 14 8 2 4 26
5 Swansea Swansea 14 8 2 4 26
6 West Brom West Brom 14 7 4 3 25
7 Southampton Southampton 14 8 4 2 24
8 West Ham West Ham 14 6 5 3 23
9 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 14 6 4 4 22
10 Portsmouth Portsmouth 14 6 4 4 22
11 QPR QPR 14 5 6 3 21
12 Norwich Norwich 14 6 0 8 18
13 Millwall Millwall 14 5 3 6 18
14 Blackburn Blackburn 14 5 3 6 18
15 Bristol City Bristol City 14 5 3 6 18
16 Wrexham Wrexham 14 4 5 5 17
17 Bolton Bolton 14 5 2 7 17
18 Cardiff Cardiff 14 3 6 5 15
19 Lincoln Lincoln 14 4 3 7 15
20 Watford Watford 14 4 2 8 14
21 Charlton Charlton 14 3 5 6 14
22 Burnley Burnley 14 1 7 6 10
23 Derby Derby 14 1 4 9 7
24 Preston Preston 14 1 2 11 5