Deportivo Maldonado vs Cerro
Deportivo Maldonado vs Cerro Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Deportivo Maldonado vs Cerro Preview
Deportivo Maldonado face Cerro in the Primera División (Clausura - 14) on Saturday 14 November 2026, kick-off 19:30 UTC at Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel, Maldonado.
Deportivo Maldonado are 2nd with 63 points from 35 games, while Cerro are 14th with 37. That leaves Deportivo Maldonado 26 points ahead.
At home this season Deportivo Maldonado average 1.8 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game; on the road Cerro average 0.9 scored and 2.1 conceded. Deportivo Maldonado have kept 15 clean sheets and failed to score 7 times; Cerro have 7 clean sheets and 12 blanks.
Deportivo Maldonado have scored 9 and conceded 6 in their last 5 matches, with 4 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 3. Cerro have scored 6 and conceded 10 in their last 5 matches, with 3 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 4.
Match Analysis
Deportivo Maldonado come into this fixture with a recent record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, while Cerro have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in the same window. Deportivo Maldonado currently sit 2nd on 63 points, with Cerro placed 14th on 37 points. Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, 10 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 2 of them. Combining the home win and the draw, the 1X selection covers the two most likely outcomes for Deportivo Maldonado. The Double Chance selection (1X) is assigned a 86.96% probability at odds of 1.15.
Key Match Factors
- Deportivo Maldonado have the better recent form (7 pts vs 4 pts from the last 5 matches).
- Deportivo Maldonado have scored 54 goals this season compared with 29 for Cerro.
- Defensively, Deportivo Maldonado have conceded 32 and Cerro have conceded 53.
- League positions: Deportivo Maldonado 2nd, Cerro 14th.
- The last 5 H2H meetings average 2 goals per game.
- Market rationale: 1X covers the home win and the draw.
Why We Tip 1X
- Deportivo Maldonado at home: 12 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats from 18 games.
- Cerro away from home: 4 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats from 18 games.
- Deportivo Maldonado have taken 7 points from their last 5 matches.
- Cerro have taken 4 points from their last 5 matches.
Teams Head to Head Matches
In the last 5 meetings, Deportivo Maldonado have won 4, Cerro have won 0 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 23 September 2026, finished Cerro 1-2 Deportivo Maldonado.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | Cerro | 1 : 2 | Deportivo Maldonado |
| May 02, 2026 | Cerro | 0 : 1 | Deportivo Maldonado |
| Nov 08, 2024 | Cerro | 0 : 0 | Deportivo Maldonado |
| May 05, 2024 | Deportivo Maldonado | 3 : 0 | Cerro |
| Sep 03, 2023 | Deportivo Maldonado | 2 : 1 | Cerro |
Season Statistics
| Deportivo Maldonado | Cerro | |
|---|---|---|
| Form |
W
W
W
D
L
W
D
|
L
D
L
W
D
L
L
|
| Played | 35 | 35 |
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| Wins | 18 | 10 |
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| Draws | 9 | 7 |
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| Losses | 8 | 18 |
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| Goals for (avg) | 1.5 | 0.8 |
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| Goals against (avg) | 0.9 | 1.5 |
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| Clean sheets | 15 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 12 |
| Biggest win streak | 3 | 2 |
Last Matches (Deportivo Maldonado)
Deportivo Maldonado
Albion FC
Porongos
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
Last Matches (Cerro)
Cerro
Atletico Torque
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
Related Predictions
Deportivo Maldonado vs Cerro FAQs
What is the Deportivo Maldonado vs Cerro prediction?
Our tip is 1X (Double Chance), with a probability of 86.96% at odds of 1.15.
When is Deportivo Maldonado vs Cerro?
Saturday 14 November 2026, kick-off 19:30 UTC, in the Primera División, at Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel.
What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo Maldonado and Cerro?
In the last 5 meetings, Deportivo Maldonado have won 4, Cerro have won 0 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 23 September 2026, finished Cerro 1-2 Deportivo Maldonado.
Discussion & Tips
League Table — Primera División
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Penarol
|
35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 65 |
| 2 |
Deportivo Maldonado
|
35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 63 |
| 3 |
Atletico Torque
|
35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 63 |
| 4 |
Club Nacional
|
35 | 19 | 4 | 12 | 61 |
| 5 |
Racing Montevideo
|
35 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 60 |
| 6 |
Liverpool Montevideo
|
35 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 59 |
| 7 |
Wanderers
|
35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 51 |
| 8 |
Albion FC
|
35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 47 |
| 9 |
Juventud
|
35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 41 |
| 10 |
Central Espanol
|
35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 41 |
| 11 |
Defensor Sporting
|
35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 39 |
| 12 |
Cerro Largo
|
35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 37 |
| 13 |
Boston River
|
35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 37 |
| 14 |
Cerro
|
35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 37 |
| 15 |
Progreso
|
35 | 10 | 5 | 20 | 35 |
| 16 |
Danubio
|
35 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 32 |