ModricPredict

Defensor Sporting vs Penarol

Defensor Sporting vs Penarol Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Primera División

Defensor Sporting
Defensor Sporting
23:00
Nov 15th
Penarol
Penarol
Prediction Odds Confidence
2 1.67
59.88%
Defensor Sporting:
L L L D W
Penarol:
D L D L D

Defensor Sporting vs Penarol Preview

Defensor Sporting face Penarol in the Primera División (Clausura - 14) on Sunday 15 November 2026, kick-off 23:00 UTC at Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo.

Defensor Sporting are 11th with 39 points from 35 games, while Penarol are 1st with 65. That leaves Penarol 26 points ahead.

At home this season Defensor Sporting average 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; on the road Penarol average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. Defensor Sporting have kept 9 clean sheets and failed to score 10 times; Penarol have 12 clean sheets and 7 blanks.

Defensor Sporting have scored 9 and conceded 10 in their last 5 matches, with 3 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 3. Penarol have scored 2 and conceded 5 in their last 5 matches, with 0 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 2.

Match Analysis

Defensor Sporting come into this fixture with a recent record of 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, while Penarol have 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in the same window. Defensor Sporting currently sit 11th on 39 points, with Penarol placed 1st on 65 points. The away side is favoured for this fixture, backing the Penarol win. The Away Win selection (2) is assigned a 59.88% probability at odds of 1.67.

Key Match Factors

  • Defensor Sporting have the better recent form (4 pts vs 3 pts from the last 5 matches).
  • Defensor Sporting have scored 35 goals this season compared with 57 for Penarol.
  • Defensively, Defensor Sporting have conceded 43 and Penarol have conceded 29.
  • League positions: Defensor Sporting 11th, Penarol 1st.
  • Market rationale: the model favours the away side.

Why We Tip 2

  • Defensor Sporting at home: 7 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats from 18 games.
  • Penarol away from home: 10 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from 17 games.
  • Defensor Sporting have taken 4 points from their last 5 matches.
  • Penarol have taken 3 points from their last 5 matches.

Season Statistics

Defensor Sporting Penarol
Form
L W L L L D W
W D W D L D D
Played 35 36
Wins 9 20
Draws 12 9
Losses 14 7
Goals for (avg) 1.0 1.6
Goals against (avg) 1.2 0.8
Clean sheets 9 12
Failed to score 10 7
Biggest win streak 2 4

Last Matches (Defensor Sporting)

1 November 2026 • Primera División
W
Progreso
0 2
Defensor Sporting
24 October 2026 • Primera División
D
Defensor Sporting
3 3
Racing Montevideo
17 October 2026 • Primera División
L
Boston River
1 0
Defensor Sporting
10 October 2026 • Primera División
L
Defensor Sporting
2 3
Cerro
3 October 2026 • Primera División
L
Albion FC
3 2
Defensor Sporting

Last Matches (Penarol)

31 October 2026 • Primera División
D
Penarol
1 1
Wanderers
27 October 2026 • Copa Uruguay
L
Penarol
0 2
Atletico Torque
23 October 2026 • Primera División
D
Juventud
0 0
Penarol
18 October 2026 • Primera División
L
Liverpool Montevideo
1 0
Penarol
10 October 2026 • Primera División
D
Penarol
1 1
Progreso

Related Predictions

More Away Win predictions

Defensor Sporting vs Penarol FAQs

What is the Defensor Sporting vs Penarol prediction?

Our tip is 2 (Away Win), with a probability of 59.88% at odds of 1.67.

When is Defensor Sporting vs Penarol?

Sunday 15 November 2026, kick-off 23:00 UTC, in the Primera División, at Estadio Luis Franzini.

Discussion & Tips

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League Table — Primera División

# Team MP W D L PTS
1 Penarol Penarol 35 19 9 7 65
2 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 35 18 9 8 63
3 Atletico Torque Atletico Torque 35 19 6 10 63
4 Club Nacional Club Nacional 35 19 4 12 61
5 Racing Montevideo Racing Montevideo 35 16 12 7 60
6 Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo 35 16 11 8 59
7 Wanderers Wanderers 35 14 9 12 51
8 Albion FC Albion FC 35 13 8 14 47
9 Juventud Juventud 35 10 11 14 41
10 Central Espanol Central Espanol 35 11 8 16 41
11 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 35 9 12 14 39
12 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 36 9 11 16 38
13 Boston River Boston River 35 10 7 18 37
14 Cerro Cerro 35 10 7 18 37
15 Progreso Progreso 36 10 6 20 36
16 Danubio Danubio 35 6 14 15 32