Albania vs Finland
Albania vs Finland Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Prediction Result: WON
The match finished 2-0, producing 2 total goals. The Under 3.5 prediction therefore landed successfully.
Albania vs Finland Preview
Albania face Finland in the UEFA Nations League (League C - 5) on Thursday 12 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC at Arena Kombëtare, Tirana.
Albania are 1st with 9 points from 4 games, while Finland are 3rd with 7. That leaves Albania 2 points ahead.
At home this season Albania average 2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; on the road Finland average 3.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. Albania have kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 0 times; Finland have 2 clean sheets and 2 blanks.
Albania have scored 8 and conceded 3 in their last 4 matches, with 3 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 2. Finland have scored 9 and conceded 2 in their last 4 matches, with 2 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 1.
Match Analysis
Albania come into this fixture with a recent record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, while Finland have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in the same window. Albania currently sit 1st on 9 points, with Finland placed 3rd on 7 points. Across the last 1 head-to-head meetings, 3 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 1 of them. Recent head-to-head meetings average 3 goals, which supports the Under 3.5 line. The Over 2.5 Goals selection (Under 3.5) is assigned a 82.64% probability at odds of 1.21.
Key Match Factors
- Albania have the better recent form (10 pts vs 8 pts from the last 5 matches).
- Albania have scored 8 goals this season compared with 9 for Finland.
- Defensively, Albania have conceded 3 and Finland have conceded 2.
- League positions: Albania 1st, Finland 3rd.
- Albania have won 2 of 2 home matches in this competition.
- Finland have won 1 of 2 away matches in this competition.
Why We Tip Under 3.5
- Albania matches average 2.8 total goals this season and Finland matches 2.8.
- 0 of Albania's last 4 matches went over 3.5 goals.
- 1 of Finland's last 4 matches went over 3.5 goals.
- The last 1 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.0 goals.
Teams Head to Head Matches
In the last 1 meeting, Albania have won 0, Finland have won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 3 October 2026, finished Finland 2-1 Albania.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 03, 2026 | Finland | 2 : 1 | Albania |
Season Statistics
| Albania | Finland | |
|---|---|---|
| Form |
W
W
L
W
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W
D
W
L
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| Played | 4 | 4 |
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| Wins | 3 | 2 |
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| Draws | 0 | 1 |
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| Losses | 1 | 1 |
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| Goals for (avg) | 2.0 | 2.3 |
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| Goals against (avg) | 0.8 | 0.5 |
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| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 |
| Biggest win streak | 2 | 1 |
Last Matches (Albania)
Albania
Finland
San Marino
Albania
Last Matches (Finland)
Belarus
Finland
Finland
San Marino
Related Predictions
Albania vs Finland FAQs
What is the Albania vs Finland prediction?
Our tip is Under 3.5 (Over 2.5 Goals), with a probability of 82.64% at odds of 1.21.
When is Albania vs Finland?
Thursday 12 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC, in the UEFA Nations League, at Arena Kombëtare.
What is the head-to-head record between Albania and Finland?
In the last 1 meeting, Albania have won 0, Finland have won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 3 October 2026, finished Finland 2-1 Albania.
What was the final score of Albania vs Finland?
Albania 2-0 Finland. Our Under 3.5 tip won.
Discussion & Tips
League Table — UEFA Nations League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Albania
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 |
Belarus
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 |
Finland
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 |
San Marino
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |